rasmussen reports - Election Day is just two weeks away, and Republican candidates hold a nine-point lead over Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Sunday, October 17, 2010.
Forty-eight percent (48%) of respondents say they would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate, while 39% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent.
Even more worrisome for Democrats, however, is the finding that among the voters who are most closely following the midterm elections Republicans hold a 55% to 36% lead.
While the margin has varied somewhat from week-to-week, Republicans have been consistently ahead on the Generic Ballot for over a year, and their lead has run as high as 12 points and as low as three points. When Barack Obama first took office as president of the United States, the Democrats enjoyed a seven-point lead on the Generic Ballot.
Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Republicans hold a 17-point lead.
The Republican advantage comes from a number of factors. One is the fact that midterm elections typically feature an older electorate with a smaller share of minority voters. Additionally, in 2010, there is clearly an enthusiasm gap favoring the GOP.
The Generic Ballot results were much different during the last two election cycles when Democrats regularly had large leads. The two parties were very close through the spring of 2009, but in June, around the time Democrats began their campaign for health care reform, Republicans pulled ahead for good. - Read more > > >
Blog author's comments - Hopefully the polls are correct and the GOP can take back the House and make huge gains or possibly take the Senate.
The Democrats will be using everything in their 'war chest' in an attempt to save as many liberal seats as possible. So, don't think that a big win for the GOP is in the bag.
The election in two weeks is crucial for the GOP. I have mentioned many times, the GOP must win big in November. They need the power to stop Obama's agenda and to ramp up for 2012.
I believe that many 'lawmakers' within the GOP ranks will gain from this election, but they have not bought in to the Tea Party movement. I don't think they take it seriously but it is a force in this country.
If the Republicans control the house, compromise with the Democrats is unacceptable. Obama gets nothing. Do you ever see the Democrats compromise on anything?
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